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🔬ScienceCloses Jul 1 · Results Dec 31

Will short RNAs targeting TDP‑43 aggregation be tested in human ALS or FTD clinical trials before end of 2027?

33%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 33%No 67%

58 bets · 1K creditsDetails →

💻TechCloses Jun 10 · Results Jun 23

Will Amazon’s announced Prime Day 2026 (June 23–26) include ‘up to 40% off’ on smart TVs?

66%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 66%No 34%

56 bets · 1.1K creditsDetails →

🎬EntertainmentCloses Jun 25 · Results Jun 30

Will 'Emily in Paris' Season 6 be released in the U.S. before the end of June 2026?

45%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 45%No 55%

54 bets · 921 creditsDetails →

🏛️PoliticsCloses Jun 10 · Results Jun 11

Will the U.S. House pass the Ukraine Support Act by Thursday, June 11, 2026?

68%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 68%No 32%

52 bets · 804 creditsDetails →

🌀OtherCloses Jun 8 · Results Jun 18

Will the June UN Climate Meetings (SB64) in Bonn conclude with an agreement on doubling adaptation finance commitments?

30%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 30%No 70%

127 bets · 2.6K creditsDetails →

🎭CultureCloses Nov 21 · Results Nov 22

Will the jury‑appointed prizes at the 61st Venice Biennale be reinstated before the exhibition ends in November 2026?

32%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 32%No 68%

120 bets · 2.4K creditsDetails →

📈EconomyCloses Sep 15 · Results Sep 30

Will the OECD’s 2026 global GDP growth forecast remain at or above 2.8% in its next update?

63%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 63%No 37%

129 bets · 2.1K creditsDetails →

🔬ScienceCloses Jun 29 · Results Jun 30

Will the international team’s new sea‑level‑rise study be published in a peer‑reviewed journal by end of June 2026?

56%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 56%No 44%

125 bets · 2.3K creditsDetails →

🎬EntertainmentCloses May 22

Will Cristian Mungiu win a second Palme d’Or at Cannes this year?

28%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 28%No 72%

125 bets · 2.3K creditsDetails →

📈EconomyCloses Jul 1

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

64%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 64%No 36%

194 bets · 3.4K creditsDetails →

🔬ScienceCloses Dec 31

Will NASA’s Psyche mission detect a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey phase by end of 2026?

40%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 40%No 60%

198 bets · 3.9K creditsDetails →

💻TechCloses Jun 29 · Results Jun 30

Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?

70%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 70%No 30%

200 bets · 3.7K creditsDetails →

🎬EntertainmentCloses Jun 5 · Results Jun 8

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

66%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 66%No 34%

211 bets · 3.9K creditsDetails →

🏛️PoliticsCloses Jun 11 · Results Jun 12

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

66%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 66%No 34%

200 bets · 3.7K creditsDetails →

🌀OtherCloses Dec 14 · Results Dec 15

Will President Vladimir Putin attend the G20 Summit in Miami in December 2026?

40%

+2% last 24h

Yes 40%No 60%

274 bets · 5.1K creditsDetails →

🎭CultureCloses Mar 10

Will ‘Fjord’ by Cristian Mungiu win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

31%

+5% last 24h

Yes 31%No 69%

271 bets · 5.2K creditsDetails →

📈EconomyCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 15

Will global headline inflation in G20 countries exceed 4.2% in 2026?

71%

+4% last 24h

Yes 71%No 29%

261 bets · 5K creditsDetails →

🔬ScienceCloses Aug 31 · Results Sep 15

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

74%

-4% last 24h

Yes 74%No 26%

272 bets · 5K creditsDetails →

💻TechCloses Jun 8

Will Microsoft officially release Aion 1.0 Plan as a downloadable local AI model for Windows 11 during WWDC 2026 keynote?

65%

+2% last 24h

Yes 65%No 35%

273 bets · 4.4K creditsDetails →

Trending

Will the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate still exceed 3.5% year‑over‑year in May 2026?

All markets

Will short RNAs targeting TDP‑43 aggregation be tested in human ALS or FTD clinical trials before end of 2027?

Will Amazon’s announced Prime Day 2026 (June 23–26) include ‘up to 40% off’ on smart TVs?

Will 'Emily in Paris' Season 6 be released in the U.S. before the end of June 2026?

Will the U.S. House pass the Ukraine Support Act by Thursday, June 11, 2026?

Will the June UN Climate Meetings (SB64) in Bonn conclude with an agreement on doubling adaptation finance commitments?

Will the jury‑appointed prizes at the 61st Venice Biennale be reinstated before the exhibition ends in November 2026?

Will the OECD’s 2026 global GDP growth forecast remain at or above 2.8% in its next update?

Will the international team’s new sea‑level‑rise study be published in a peer‑reviewed journal by end of June 2026?

Will Cristian Mungiu win a second Palme d’Or at Cannes this year?

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

Will NASA’s Psyche mission detect a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey phase by end of 2026?

Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

Will President Vladimir Putin attend the G20 Summit in Miami in December 2026?

Will ‘Fjord’ by Cristian Mungiu win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

Will global headline inflation in G20 countries exceed 4.2% in 2026?

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

Will Microsoft officially release Aion 1.0 Plan as a downloadable local AI model for Windows 11 during WWDC 2026 keynote?

Trending

Will the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate still exceed 3.5% year‑over‑year in May 2026?

All markets

Will short RNAs targeting TDP‑43 aggregation be tested in human ALS or FTD clinical trials before end of 2027?

Will Amazon’s announced Prime Day 2026 (June 23–26) include ‘up to 40% off’ on smart TVs?

Will 'Emily in Paris' Season 6 be released in the U.S. before the end of June 2026?

Will the U.S. House pass the Ukraine Support Act by Thursday, June 11, 2026?

Will the June UN Climate Meetings (SB64) in Bonn conclude with an agreement on doubling adaptation finance commitments?

Will the jury‑appointed prizes at the 61st Venice Biennale be reinstated before the exhibition ends in November 2026?

Will the OECD’s 2026 global GDP growth forecast remain at or above 2.8% in its next update?

Will the international team’s new sea‑level‑rise study be published in a peer‑reviewed journal by end of June 2026?

Will Cristian Mungiu win a second Palme d’Or at Cannes this year?

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

Will NASA’s Psyche mission detect a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey phase by end of 2026?

Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

Will President Vladimir Putin attend the G20 Summit in Miami in December 2026?

Will ‘Fjord’ by Cristian Mungiu win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

Will global headline inflation in G20 countries exceed 4.2% in 2026?

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

Will Microsoft officially release Aion 1.0 Plan as a downloadable local AI model for Windows 11 during WWDC 2026 keynote?

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?